Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz is eyeing a fourth term in Congress and hopes to move past an ongoing criminal investigation into sex trafficking allegations. No matter who wins the highly anticipated race for Florida’s 1st Congressional District, the Northwest Florida seat will be represented by a lawmaker dogged by legal challenges. role in countering socialism in the Caribbean and Latin America. Rubio, meanwhile, has run a foil to President Joe Biden’s unpopular fiscal policies, while continuing to champion the U.S. Through the last reporting period, the Miami Republican had $4,101,669 left in the bank.ĭemings has stressed her background as a former Orlando Police Chief as much as her time in the House, where she first won election in 2016. Rubio, meanwhile, put together a little under $47 million over the course of the campaign. Marco Rubio leads, but Val Demings is formidable. That was after raising more than $73 million in total in her bid to unseat the two-term incumbent. 19, Demings held $4,920,051 in cash on hand. Since the 2020 election, Republicans have grown their voter registration numbers significantly and now carry a raw advantage over Democrats with nearly 200,000 more voters, according to the most recent L2 voter data.īut while trailing in polls, Demings enters the final stretch of the campaign with more money to spend in the dash to Nov. The advantage is driven by several factors in Florida this cycle. Real Clear Politics’ average of polls puts Rubio at plus-7.5 points in the race while FiveThirtyEight gives Rubio a slightly smaller advantage at plus-7 points. Rubio, Florida’s senior Senator who has served since 2011, is leading in just about every poll. Rubio is still heavily favored to win re-election this cycle against a formidable challenger in Demings. If you need to glue yourself to a single website tonight to learn outcomes, head to Florida Politics. But pundits and political reporters have their eyes on a handful of other races as well just in case things turn out differently than the prognosticators expect.īelow are the races that Delegation has eyes on.
Observers agree Miami Republican María Elvira Salazar faces the greatest threat of any Sunshine State House member, with a challenge from Democrat Annette Taddeo. But members as always face greater uncertainty than others. Besides that, every House member faces some opposition on the ballot except Republican John Rutherford, who secured another term when he fended off Primary opposition in August.
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